Forecasted Basin-Average Accumulated Precipitation - GEPS 384 hrs

Shows sub-basin-averaged precipitation from the GEPS ensemble, reflecting the mean (or other metrics) of multiple ensemble members. Useful to understand probabilistic rainfall/snowfall expectations for each watershed.

GEPS is ECCC’s ensemble system, running ~20 members globally to quantify forecast uncertainty out to ~16 days. This layer aggregates ensemble precipitation data over sub-basin polygons. The attribute “Average Accumulated Precipitation” often represents the ensemble mean, capturing a more probable average scenario. Operators can use this for risk-based hydrological planning or to gauge confidence in upcoming flood/drought scenarios across different sub-basins.